The sizzling summer real estate market appears set to remain
hot right through the fall.
John Andrew, a professor at Queen’s University, is watching
with interest for the August numbers that the Canadian Real Estate Association
will report in the coming days.
Low mortgage rates fuelled property sales in cities across
Canada, with Toronto, Vancouver and Calgary seeing the most action, he says.
Prof. Andrew, who is the director of the executive seminars
on corporate and investment real estate at Queen’s, predicts September and
October will bring more of the same.
“I don’t think we’re going to see a significant downturn in
sales until we see an uptick in mortgage rates.”
And when he says an uptick, he’s not referring to a month or
two of gently rising rates – he’s talking about a sustained upward trend.
The Toronto Real Estate Board reported that sales rose 2.8
per cent in the Greater Toronto Area in August from a year earlier, while the
average selling price rose 8.9 per cent. Prof. Andrew says the increase in
sales in August came on a drop in listings. Sales in Durham Region, including
Whitby and Brooklin have produced similar rising sales figures.
The market is still fairly balanced, he says, but it could
tip over to a sellers’ market. He wonders if that, in turn, will encourage more
homeowners to list their properties for sale. “As soon as people realize it’s a
sellers’ market, they say ‘maybe it’s a good time to sell our house.”
Prof. Andrew notes the contrast between this year and last,
when a sudden shift in the market came right after Labour Day. Last summer,
mortgage rates edged up between June and September. Many people hadn’t been
paying attention and that led to a sudden burst of buying in September when
people were spurred on by the fear that rates would climb even higher.
Fluctuating bond yields have brought about the movement in
mortgage rates over the past year.
The professor also points out that he used to make a note in
his calendar of the days when the Bank of Canada’s interest rate committee was
set to meet. He could expect a lot of calls from media on those days. More
recently, those meetings have become a non-event, he says, because no one
expects the central bank to make a change.
The low mortgage rates expected for the remainder of 2014
create an opportunity for all participants including first time buyers, move up
buyers, investors, or by simply allowing people with existing mortgages to pay
them off sooner.
For opportunities in Whitby and Brooklin and throughout
Durham Region, contact me.
Randy Miller
Broker
Re/Max Rouge River Realty Ltd., Brokerage
905-668-1800 or 905-427-1400
randy@randymiller.ca
http://whitbybrooklinhomes.com
Broker
Re/Max Rouge River Realty Ltd., Brokerage
905-668-1800 or 905-427-1400
randy@randymiller.ca
http://whitbybrooklinhomes.com
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